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DHT: 00CSV

07 Apr 2019

Lille

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.0%
Reims
28.1%
Draw
46.9%
Lille

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Reims

vs
1.23

Lille

Markets

BTTS38.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.8%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).