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09 Dec 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.6%
Ein Frankfurt
11.0%
Draw
80.4%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Ein Frankfurt

vs
3.75

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS72.1%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.596.4%
Over 2.588.2%
Over 3.574.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-3
7.3%
1-4
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
5.1%
2-3
4.8%
2-4
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-5
3.8%
2-5
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).