⚽ FootballData
2 – 2
DHT: 00CSV

17 Apr 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
46.6%
Swansea
31.4%
Draw
22.0%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Swansea

vs
0.78

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS40.0%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.3%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).