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25 Feb 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.7%
Wolves
25.4%
Draw
18.8%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Wolves

vs
1.01

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).