Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
FeralpiSalo
30.9%
Draw
34.2%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
FeralpiSalo
vs
1.15
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).