Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Bournemouth
27.1%
Draw
30.9%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Bournemouth
vs
1.25
Coventry
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).