Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Hartlepool
30.0%
Draw
30.9%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Hartlepool
vs
1.10
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).