Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Clermont
22.4%
Draw
39.5%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Clermont
vs
1.52
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).