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16 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.6%
Maidenhead
31.4%
Draw
25.0%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Maidenhead

vs
0.87

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS42.5%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).