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DHT: 11CSV

25 Oct 2020 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.6%
Sandhausen
25.5%
Draw
57.0%
Paderborn

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Sandhausen

vs
1.76

Paderborn

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).