Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Stal Mielec
28.2%
Draw
39.2%
Korona Kielce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Stal Mielec
vs
1.39
Korona Kielce
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).