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AHT: 01

19 Oct 2025 · 10:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.8%
Piast Gliwice
24.5%
Draw
34.7%
Lechia Gdańsk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Piast Gliwice

vs
1.60

Lechia Gdańsk

Markets

BTTS66.8%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).