Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Stockport
22.7%
Draw
25.2%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Stockport
vs
1.04
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).