Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Wigan
34.0%
Draw
27.9%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Wigan
vs
0.83
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.6%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).