Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.4%
Leyton Orient
20.8%
Draw
62.9%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Leyton Orient
vs
1.80
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
7.5%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).