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24 Aug 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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91.5%
AEK
6.9%
Draw
1.7%
Panserraikos

Expected Goals (xG)

3.43

AEK

vs
0.40

Panserraikos

Markets

BTTS32.3%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
14.6%
2-0
12.7%
4-0
12.5%
5-0
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
4-1
5.0%
5-1
3.5%
1-1
3.3%
0-0
2.4%
3-2
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).