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04 Jul 2020 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.0%
Yeni Malatyaspor
33.4%
Draw
50.6%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Yeni Malatyaspor

vs
1.42

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.1%
0-0
14.8%
0-1
13.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).