Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Gillingham
25.9%
Draw
23.6%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Gillingham
vs
0.88
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.1%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).