Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.0%
Fakel
29.7%
Draw
59.3%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Fakel
vs
1.40
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS29.1%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.511.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.5%
0-0
16.7%
0-2
15.2%
1-1
11.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
3.3%
0-4
2.5%
2-1
2.3%
2-0
1.7%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).