Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
27.2%
Draw
56.1%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.58
Watford
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
12.1%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).