Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Burnley
26.4%
Draw
46.3%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Burnley
vs
1.75
Fulham
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
4.6%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).