Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Galatasaray
25.3%
Draw
14.8%
Besiktas
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Galatasaray
vs
0.99
Besiktas
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).