Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.1%
Sheffield United
17.8%
Draw
72.1%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Sheffield United
vs
2.57
Brighton
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
8.7%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.9%
0-1
6.9%
0-4
5.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).