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AHT: 00CSV

16 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Elgin

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.1%
Stranraer
30.9%
Draw
30.0%
Elgin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Stranraer

vs
1.19

Elgin

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).