Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Moreirense
28.7%
Draw
41.0%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Moreirense
vs
1.37
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).