Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Hamburg
19.5%
Draw
15.0%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Hamburg
vs
1.11
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).