Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Cardiff
29.1%
Draw
41.6%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Cardiff
vs
1.36
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).