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03 Sept 2023 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.7%
Charleroi
25.8%
Draw
35.5%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Charleroi

vs
1.44

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).