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AHT: 03CSV

09 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Accrington
27.5%
Draw
44.0%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Accrington

vs
1.26

Bradford

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).