Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Tenerife
28.0%
Draw
20.0%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Tenerife
vs
0.72
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).