Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Carlisle
27.8%
Draw
40.6%
Macclesfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Carlisle
vs
1.20
Macclesfield
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).