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22 Aug 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.7%
Grenoble
24.7%
Draw
40.6%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Grenoble

vs
1.33

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).