Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Toulouse
21.5%
Draw
38.7%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Toulouse
vs
1.70
Marseille
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).