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AHT: 01CSV

03 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.9%
Dorking
30.5%
Draw
32.6%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Dorking

vs
1.11

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).