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21 Feb 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
West Ham
26.8%
Draw
44.1%
Bournemouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

West Ham

vs
1.69

Bournemouth

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).