Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Gil Vicente
27.1%
Draw
15.6%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Gil Vicente
vs
0.55
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.530.1%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
0-0
14.2%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
10.6%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
4-0
2.1%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).