Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
M'gladbach
21.0%
Draw
11.7%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
M'gladbach
vs
0.74
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).