Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
AVS
26.9%
Draw
53.9%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
AVS
vs
1.60
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).