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05 Dec 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
Oviedo
30.9%
Draw
40.0%
Mallorca

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Oviedo

vs
1.14

Mallorca

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).