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DHT: 02CSV

28 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.2%
Bromley
28.9%
Draw
27.9%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Bromley

vs
1.07

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).