Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Kayserispor
35.4%
Draw
38.7%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Kayserispor
vs
1.23
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.5%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
10.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).