Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Castellon
16.5%
Draw
13.5%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Castellon
vs
1.04
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.6%
1-1
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).