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14 Mar 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.9%
Palermo
26.1%
Draw
25.0%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Palermo

vs
1.17

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).