Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Liverpool
26.7%
Draw
50.7%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Liverpool
vs
1.75
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).