Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Chateauroux
27.4%
Draw
45.9%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Chateauroux
vs
1.22
Lens
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.6%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).