Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Swindon
25.6%
Draw
29.1%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Swindon
vs
1.07
Barnet
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).