Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Millwall
26.2%
Draw
22.5%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Millwall
vs
1.02
QPR
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).