Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Crawley Town
22.6%
Draw
17.4%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Crawley Town
vs
0.79
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).