Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Cittadella
32.4%
Draw
40.7%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Cittadella
vs
1.17
Trapani
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.8%
0-1
13.4%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).