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HHT: 11CSV

06 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.2%
Rotherham
21.3%
Draw
69.5%
Nott'm Forest

Expected Goals (xG)

0.58

Rotherham

vs
1.96

Nott'm Forest

Markets

BTTS38.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.2%
0-1
14.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).